slides(tappaas): add the process and test guardrails

Guardrail 1 is now the process that runs before the AI is allowed to type:
an Issue with a defined problem and proposed fix, an ADR reviewed by at least
two people for anything non-obvious, then a design and implementation plan
that says how it will be tested. The eight agent roles move here — they are
what "then the AI takes over" means.

Guardrail 5 replaces "I stayed the reviewer" with the test regime: quick test
on every change, deep test via test-module.sh --deep, test plan authored in
the ADR, and a full regression across every module after implementation.

Test figures reconciled to one scope across the deck (both repos): 195 suites,
34,490 lines, 27% of source.

Co-Authored-By: Claude Opus 5 <noreply@anthropic.com>

slides/tappaas/one-year-in/index.md

@@ -419,7 +419,7 @@ But look at *where* that cost sits:
 | Paid **once**, by whoever writes it | Paid by **you**, per site |
 | --- | --- |
 | the 8 foundation modules | a box and an afternoon |
-| 145 test suites that gate every update | `module-manager module add <app>` |
+| 195 test suites that gate every update | `module-manager module add <app>` |
 | every install, update and repair script | nothing — patches arrive tested |
 
 A hyperscaler amortises a datacentre across a million tenants.
@@ -529,7 +529,31 @@ transferable to anyone in the tent using these tools.
 
 ---
 
-## Guardrail 1 — the line it may never cross
+## Guardrail 1 — nothing starts with a prompt
+
+By the time the AI is allowed to type, three humans-only artefacts exist:
+
+1. **An Issue** — a well-defined problem and a proposed fix. No issue, no change.
+2. **An ADR**, for anything non-obvious — reviewed by **at least two people**.
+   Usually me and Erik. 24 of them so far.
+3. **A design and implementation plan** — including **how this will be tested**,
+   written *before* a line is written.
+
+*Then* the AI takes over — as eight specialist roles: architect, bash, python,
+nix, tester, security, infra, PM.
+
+The model does not decide what to build, or what "done" means. It never has.
+
+<!--
+This is the most transferable slide in the talk, and the one people actually
+need. The order matters: problem, decision, plan, and only then code.
+Two reviewers on an ADR is the part that keeps me honest — Erik has killed
+several of my ideas, and the ADR is where that argument is recorded.
+-->
+
+---
+
+## Guardrail 2 — the line it may never cross
 
 > **Never run `git commit` or `git push` — full stop.**
 > The operator performs ALL commits and pushes themselves.
@@ -549,7 +573,7 @@ so the undo button is the thing it must not touch.
 
 ---
 
-## Guardrail 2 — the blast radius is designed
+## Guardrail 3 — the blast radius is designed
 
 | Layer | What it bounds |
 | --- | --- |
@@ -558,7 +582,7 @@ so the undo button is the thing it must not touch.
 | **Proxmox snapshots** | Minutes-old rollback, per machine |
 | **PBS + off-site** | Nightly, immutable, pull-based |
 | **NixOS** | `nixos-rebuild test` before `switch` — a bad config dies at reboot |
-| **30,282 lines of tests** | The update does not land unless the service proves it works |
+| **34,490 lines of tests** | The update does not land unless the service proves it works |
 
 Root access is only terrifying if the system underneath is a snowflake.
 Mine is disposable by construction.
@@ -571,7 +595,7 @@ over-eager agent survivable. Same property, two beneficiaries.
 
 ---
 
-## Guardrail 3 — confirm before the irreversible
+## Guardrail 4 — confirm before the irreversible
 
 The standing rules, as written:
 
@@ -579,8 +603,7 @@ The standing rules, as written:
   dropping a storage pool, force-pushing `main`/`stable`, wiping `/etc/secrets`
 - **Fix root causes, not symptoms** — no `--no-verify`, no silenced errors,
   no bypassed CI to make an install "succeed"
-- **Read before you rebuild** — `test` before `switch`
-- **Propose tests first**, then run them
+- **Read before you rebuild** — `nixos-rebuild test` before `switch`
 
 Note what these have in common: they are all rules about **honesty**,
 not about capability.
@@ -592,20 +615,31 @@ makes the red thing turn green by removing the check. Name that explicitly.
 
 ---
 
-## Guardrail 4 — I stayed the reviewer
+## Guardrail 5 — the tests decide, not the agent
 
-Eight specialist roles — architect, bash, python, nix, tester, security,
-infra, PM — with a security review in the path of every change.
+Every module ships **two** test levels:
 
-But the load-bearing part is duller than that:
+| | When it runs | What it is for |
+| --- | --- | --- |
+| **quick** | every change, every scheduled update | is this service still itself? |
+| **deep** | `test-module.sh <module> --deep` | the full behaviour, too slow for every commit |
 
-- I read the diff
-- I write the commit message
-- I press the button
-- 24 ADRs exist so that *I* still know why the system is shaped this way
+And around them:
 
-The day I stop reading diffs, this stops being sovereign
-and starts being someone else's system running in my basement.
+- the **test plan is written in the ADR**, before the implementation exists
+- after implementation, a **full regression** across every module — not just the one touched
+- **195 test suites · 34,490 lines · 27% of all source**
+
+An agent that can edit code can also edit the test that would catch it.
+That is exactly why a human writes the test plan first, and why the
+regression sweep is the thing that says "done" — not the agent.
+
+<!--
+This closes the loop opened in Guardrail 1: the plan said how it would be
+tested, and this is where that promise is collected.
+The last two lines are the answer to the sharpest question in the room —
+"how would you even know if it cheated?"
+-->
 
 ---
 
@@ -617,7 +651,7 @@ I no longer control every line. I control:
 
 - the **architecture** — modules, zones, contracts
 - the **gate** — commits, pushes, releases
-- the **proof** — 145 test suites, 29% of the source, that must be green
+- the **proof** — 195 test suites, 27% of the source, that must be green
 - the **exit** — it is all open source, on my hardware, in my hands
 
 That is a real answer, not a comfortable one. Ask me the hard version in Q&A.